Monthly Archives: December 2011

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Why Everybody Loves the Packers

Today, the folks over at Public Policy Polling confirmed what we’ve long suspected: the Dallas Cowboys are no longer “America’s Team”.

That title, like the Lombardi trophy, belongs to the Green Bay Packers.

Here’s a bit of data from PPP:

22% of voters say the Packers are their favorite team in the NFL to 11% for the Cowboys, 8% for the Bears, Giants, and Steelers, 7% for the Saints, 6% for the Patriots, 4% for the Redskins, and 2% for the Jets. 24% say someone else is their favorite team or that they don’t have a favorite.

…we also asked a straight up ‘horse race’ style question about whether people like the Cowboys or Packers better. The Packers come out ahead 49-28 on that one.

The Cowboys did come out first on one question in our poll: Americans’ least favorite NFL team. 22% pick the Cowboys on that front to 11% for the Bears, 8% for the Packers, 7% for the Patriots and Redskins, 6% for the Steelers, 4% for the Jets and Giants, and 1% for the Saints.

Shocking. More than one in five football fans call the Packers their favorite team; the net favorability of the Pack is through the roof (around +40%).

But what makes the Packers so lovable?

Let’s explore.

It is important to note that the market in which the Packers play (Green Bay) is by far the smallest of any NFL team. Even when Milwaukee (which is very close to Bears country) is added in, the Packers still rank near the bottom.

The rest of the teams at the top of the popularity list play mostly in massive markets: the Cowboys (4th), Bears (2nd), Giants/Jets (1st), Patriots/Redskins (Spread around the northeast). The outliers here are the Steelers, who have had a tremendous amount of success in the past decade and benefit from a number of horrible teams in Michigan and Ohio, and the Saints, who recently won a feel-good Superbowl.

The Packers are unique in that their support is spread across a broad swath of America, not concentrated in one major metropolitan area. The lack of a substantial built-in fan base means that the Packers’ massive popularity stems from something greater than regional loyalty.

It’s easy to attribute their popularity to fair-weather fandom, but it’s about a great deal more than being really really good at football. Sure, the Packers won Super Bowl XLV last year and look to be the class of the NFC again (despite a little hiccup last week), but in 2008, they finished 6-10. The Steelers, for example, have had more sustained success than the Packers over the past half decade, but enjoy far less popularity.

History is certainly on Green Bay’s side, but this too is overrated. The Packers dominated the early NFL, Vince Lombardi is a legend, but history is just as powerful an ally in Dallas, where memories of Tom Landry and championships past linger.

More recent Packer history is dominated by Brett Favre, whose invocation today draws far more irritated groans than fond memories from NFL fans.

In the end, the Packers are popular because they’re the most dignified of professional football teams.

You won’t find any Rex Ryans, Chad Ochocincos, or Ben Roethlisbergers in Green Bay. The most polarizing guy in Green Bay is… Mike McCarthy (follow this link and wait for the end).

The Packers collectively embody the consummate professional. Veterans abound, and they conduct themselves the right way. No aimless youngsters wander around the field in the green and gold; nobody ever looks helpless or hapless.

But the most important contributor to the Pack’s transcendent dignity is its ability to stay above the media circus that surrounds most of the NFL.

Flashback to August 2008, at the onset of Favre-a-palooza: Brett Favre announces he’s coming out of his five-month-old retirement. The Packers cut ties with him after 16 seasons and trade him to the Jets for a draft pick. In doing so, they sent a budding perennial distraction and impending national disgust away from Green Bay.

As a result, Aaron Rodgers (who had spent three seasons under Favre, waiting for an opportunity to play) began his development into (arguably) the league’s best quarterback.

Now, while the Packers play at an exceedingly high level, Rodgers and the rest of Green Bay’s quiet corps of superstars stay under the pop-culture radar, avoiding Dancing With the Stars, jail, and Roger Goodell.

They’re classy (or at least they are perceived as classy).

The Packers have earned every bit of their nationwide popularity; they command respect from all corners as faithful purveyors of pure, great football.

They’re an old-fashioned, all-business escape from the obnoxious megalomania of rabid metropolitan fans, petulant stars, and money-grabbing owners.

For today, at least, America belongs to the Packers.

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19 Days Out of Iowa, Newt Comes Back to the Field

*/Folks it’s been a long time since the last blog post. It is not that this site is falling into disrepair, it’s just been a very busy week with finals and such. Going forward, the infrequence of recent posts will not be tolerated./*

January 3 marks the opening of the true political season, and it now appears that Newt Gingrich is racing against time.

For over a month now, Newt has been riding a wave of popular conservative support toward victory in Iowa. This ride began with the implosion of the now-dearly-departed Cain campaign, after which he was able to open up a 20+% lead over Ron Paul and Mitt Romney. The Newtmentum has slowed, the trends head downward again.

What was a 23 point lead is now eight according to a Gallup poll released today. Rasmussen polls out of Iowa showed Gingrich with a 13 point lead a month ago; their polls released today suggest that Newt actually trails Mitt Romney by three points.

Not all the polls show such a dramatic turnaround (many, in fact, still show Gingrich with a relatively comfortable lead), but there is a near-universal diminution of positive intensity behind the former House speaker.

For those who anointed Newt as the final “Anti-Romney”, the news of his diminishing lead in Iowa is troublesome. He was supposed to be the one around whom the arch-conservative wing of the party coalesced.

There are a few key factors that have foreshadowed the regression of Newt’s lead.

The first, of course, being the overarching pattern of ups and downs in the Republican field so far. One conservative firebrand emerges, recedes, and is then supplanted by another candidate in the same mold.

Newt is now falling victim to the same cycle, but for different reasons.

Whereas Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Herman Cain were largely undone by what amounts to ignorance, Newt Gingrich may be falling victim to his policy making zeal. Throughout his political career, Newt has prided himself on being an “idea man” who often champions sweeping government action to solve problems.

This is likely a function of the man’s personality. Gingrich is regarded as a megalomaniac at worst, a simple egotist at best. Newt’s hero complex has led him to champion sweeping government environmental action alongside the arch-nemesis of all conservatives, Nancy Pelosi, and support healthcare reform that involved the dreaded individual mandate.

Newt’s record is, in many ways, the antithesis of the Tea Party ideal. It seems that many conservatives are beginning to figure this out.

The second reason for Newt’s failure to retain his massive lead in Iowa is far less ideological than the first.

The is no real Gingrich organization on the ground in Iowa. Only last week, the candidate was still getting campaign offices up and running. The lack of a ground game may date back to the summer flight of a substantial chunk of Newt’s campaign team.

In a predominantly rural state of only 3 million people, where vaunted political traditions exist nearly everywhere (see Inn, Hamburg in Iowa City), face to face interaction with voters is crucial.

Rick Perry’s second chance campaign reboot Iowa bus tour, for example, is apparently rekindling the tiniest flicker of support for the Texas governor. That he is capable of being redeemed in anyone’s eyes is a testament to the necessity and effectiveness of a grassroots effort.

Because Newt lacks this presence in Iowa it makes him vulnerable to better organized candidates with a personal connection to the voters.

Mitt Romney may not be campaigning in Iowa, but Ron Paul is. And Ron Paul has incredible organization in Iowa and a very devoted support system.

Paul has been polling as high as second in Iowa and his devoted supporters may turn out to caucus (an unusually labor intensive voting procedure) in greater numbers than Newt Gingrich’s, who will likely continue to lose faith as their candidate is picked apart as the front runner.

So for now, Gingrich leads, but he is still far from a foregone conclusion.

A defeat in Iowa would not spell certain doom for his candidacy by any means, but a loss in Iowa to either Ron Paul or Mitt Romney (who has not campaigned in Iowa, and will win the nation’s second contest in New Hampshire) would be hugely damaging to the Gingrich campaign.

Iowa is Newt’s to lose, all he has to do is beat his impending demise to the finish line.

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CrossroadsGPS: A Super PAC with a Winning Message

And here we have a new ad from Karl Rove’s super PAC all about Elizabeth Warren and how she loves banks and bailouts.

In actuality, Elizabeth Warren was the pioneer of the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau, a regulatory board established after the financial crisis to do exactly what its name suggests. Regulate, not brown-nose, the banks

Warren, like Richard Cordray today, was blocked by Senate Republicans from leading the CFPB.

Here are some other awesome ads from CrossroadsGPS.

But this one wins.